Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 71.252165 80.278670 89.515073 99.641022 110.398943 121.457936 133.656476
2025-07-27 56.782694 69.676758 83.480370 99.225040 116.561195 134.953557 155.830166
2025-08-03 47.656289 62.544707 79.042803 98.408178 120.263808 143.940538 171.311208
2025-08-10 41.475037 57.835115 76.522110 98.992838 124.866909 153.362587 186.770436
2025-08-17 35.822866 53.069026 73.358502 98.314302 127.578019 160.280450 199.090522
2025-08-24 31.593713 49.567704 71.299781 98.575535 131.069720 167.835070 211.912967
2025-08-31 27.376300 45.661980 68.410040 97.547295 132.801573 173.167456 222.029551
2025-09-07 24.769927 43.590069 67.581310 98.832982 137.123038 181.381597 235.360903
2025-09-14 22.624740 41.929816 67.113553 100.430195 141.713875 189.834538 248.912940
2025-09-21 19.787859 39.047568 64.868779 99.642248 143.282796 194.626160 258.119242
2025-09-28 16.796412 35.651594 61.724859 97.527560 143.074432 197.186931 264.609147
2025-10-05 16.105202 35.616686 63.060949 101.140677 149.931381 208.192378 281.064258
2025-10-12 14.914167 34.733190 63.203696 103.208362 154.904044 217.004892 295.032327
2025-10-19 13.059780 32.621180 61.515788 102.779829 156.680274 221.916061 304.343597
2025-10-26 11.290624 30.451823 59.607854 101.946801 157.856543 226.031141 312.650731
2025-11-02 10.085203 29.111479 58.810604 102.543397 160.810750 232.290474 323.514091
2025-11-09 8.684218 27.252138 57.133454 101.850901 162.037774 236.375739 331.719133
2025-11-16 7.648101 25.939465 56.195839 102.117517 164.465470 241.917673 341.670967
2025-11-23 6.444645 24.126142 54.377673 101.068044 165.107066 245.190975 348.828266
2025-11-30 5.823633 23.421132 54.250962 102.380266 168.843945 252.327612 360.705563
2025-12-07 5.314427 22.888280 54.362668 104.010241 172.990488 259.976073 373.215652
2025-12-14 4.444681 21.398607 52.832262 103.206160 173.840969 263.435560 380.554370
2025-12-21 3.481616 19.465741 50.439364 101.047901 172.798754 264.443247 384.826030